NC and IN Primaries Tonight: Final Game Changer Or Not?

In the Democratic primary, goal posts have been rearranged so many times, it’s a wonder we’re even counting votes and not just letting Clinton and Obama figure it out mano-a-mano.

The final of the “delegate rich” primaries are tonight. North Carolina and Indiana could very well decide the fates of the two democrats, once and for all. OR they could do what all the other states have done and keep this crazy ride going.

My take after the jump.

I think Clinton is going to win Indiana by a margin of 6-9%. I think Obama is going to win North Carolina by 9-11%.

The scenario I foresee is a non-game changer. A win for both candidates, a small proportions difference, no real gain in delegates. Just more of the same ol’ race.

The real way of making a difference is if one of the candidates wins both. An upset by Clinton in North Carolina would be terrible for the Obama campaign, but very unlikely. An upset by Obama in Indiana is more possible, and would finally silence the beast, but I still doubt it’s going down like that.

I think the end to all of this will be anti-climactic. I think Hillary is a control freak and she’s not bowing out till she’s good and ready. I see her as a Mitt Romney like politician, throwing her opponent under the bus while she’s running against him then turning on her best Cheshire smile when she has to endorse him.

Either way, I’ll be looking forward to see another piece of history come to pass, but I’m not betting the ranch on this being the final shoot out.

~ by BookGirl on May 6, 2008.